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Original Research

Articles about "Original Research"

4 articles

512 Days of Hormuz Transit Data | What a 91.6% Drop Looks Like

I aggregated 512 days of daily transit counts for the Strait of Hormuz. Before the closure, 84.8 vessels a day; after, 7.1. The collapse took three days. And the partial recovery that appeared in June had disappeared again by August.

2026-08-27Ryuta Hamamoto

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Every Unmanned Systems Contract Japan's Coast Guard Signed | ¥410m, Counted

I pulled every unmanned aircraft and unmanned vessel contract the Japan Coast Guard awarded between FY2023 and FY2026 from the bid result PDFs. Nine contracts, ¥410.8 million. The range between largest and smallest is 126x, and where one bidder showed up, the award ratio pinned to the ceiling.

2026-08-27Ryuta Hamamoto

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Where Export Control Violations Actually Get Caught | Six Years of METI Data

Japan's METI publishes an annual analysis of export control violations, one PDF per year, with nobody stitching them together. I pulled all six and counted. The share found by customs audits roughly tripled in three years, and the leading cause was not what I expected.

2026-08-27Ryuta Hamamoto

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Taiwan's Screening List vs Japan's | 11,664 Entries Against 835

I pulled Taiwan's daily-updated export entity control list and Japan's End User List in full and compared them. 11,664 entries against 835, roughly 14x apart. But this is not a question of which is stricter. The two countries build lists on fundamentally different premises.

2026-08-27Ryuta Hamamoto

4 articles

TRAFEED

512 Days of Hormuz Transit Data | What a 91.6% Drop Looks Like

I aggregated 512 days of daily transit counts for the Strait of Hormuz. Before the closure, 84.8 vessels a day; after, 7.1. The collapse took three days. And the partial recovery that appeared in June had disappeared again by August.

2026-08-27Ryuta Hamamoto

TRAFEED

Every Unmanned Systems Contract Japan's Coast Guard Signed | ¥410m, Counted

I pulled every unmanned aircraft and unmanned vessel contract the Japan Coast Guard awarded between FY2023 and FY2026 from the bid result PDFs. Nine contracts, ¥410.8 million. The range between largest and smallest is 126x, and where one bidder showed up, the award ratio pinned to the ceiling.

2026-08-27Ryuta Hamamoto

TRAFEED

Where Export Control Violations Actually Get Caught | Six Years of METI Data

Japan's METI publishes an annual analysis of export control violations, one PDF per year, with nobody stitching them together. I pulled all six and counted. The share found by customs audits roughly tripled in three years, and the leading cause was not what I expected.

2026-08-27Ryuta Hamamoto

TRAFEED

Taiwan's Screening List vs Japan's | 11,664 Entries Against 835

I pulled Taiwan's daily-updated export entity control list and Japan's End User List in full and compared them. 11,664 entries against 835, roughly 14x apart. But this is not a question of which is stricter. The two countries build lists on fundamentally different premises.

2026-08-27Ryuta Hamamoto