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US-China AI Semiconductor Regulation Calendar 2024-2026: Reading the Symmetric Interlock on One Page

Published2026-05-20Updated2026-07-19Ryuta Hamamoto

US-China AI Semiconductor Regulation Calendar 2024-2026: Reading the Symmetric Interlock on One Page.

US-China AI Semiconductor Regulation Calendar 2024-2026: Reading the Symmetric Interlock on One Page
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Hello, this is Hamamoto from TIMEWELL. From 2024 through 2026, export controls have moved along three main axes: the United States, China, and the EU. Layered on top of them, quarter by quarter, are the measures of the linked countries: Japan, the Netherlands, the UK, India, and Taiwan. The three principals draft the rules, and the linked countries build operations that produce an equivalent effect within their own domestic law. That is the basic structure.

At first glance it can all look like an unrelated stream of headlines. But the moment you place the events on a timeline, a clear pattern surfaces: one country moves, and another moves symmetrically right after. The day after the US updated its Entity List in December 2024, China imposed a ban on certain minerals to the US. That was not a coincidence. In this article I lay out the major regulations on a single calendar and explain how they interlock, in terms a newcomer can follow. Rather than framing this as a "US-China conflict," I treat it neutrally, as symmetric institutional responses between sovereign states. If you would first like to know which regulations your own transactions might touch, start with the export-control self-check, and the calendar below should read as something that concerns you directly.

What you will learn here

  • A single calendar of the major export controls from 2024 through July 2026
  • The structure by which US measures and Chinese responses fire symmetrically
  • The H200 reversal, where the US granted licenses but China shut it out at customs; the two-stage design of the Affiliates Rule suspension; and the latest on rare-earth controls
  • The MOFCOM Announcement No. 26 reporting system launched in July 2026, and enforcement that hits Japanese companies directly, such as the detention of a Japanese national in Dalian
  • How the linked countries (Japan, the Netherlands, the UK, India, Taiwan) track the US baseline
  • What Japanese companies should do, immediately and over the medium term

Background you need to read the calendar

Before the calendar, three concepts and a handful of acronyms. Skip this and the tables later will look like cipher, so bear with me.

The first concept is symmetric response: when one country imposes an export control, the other answers with a control of the same nature, licensing, item designation, or extraterritorial reach. The second is allied alignment: rather than copying the US rules verbatim, a linked country builds operations that produce an equivalent effect within its own export-control law. The third is regulatory interlocking: the quarter-by-quarter chain that runs from a BIS update to a Chinese MOFCOM announcement, to an EU delegated regulation, to a Japanese ministerial ordinance.

A few acronyms up front. BIS (the US Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security) administers the Export Administration Regulations, or EAR. The Entity List is the BIS-designated list of restricted parties, exports to which require an individual license. The FDPR (Foreign Direct Product Rule) extends US controls even to foreign-made goods produced with US equipment or software. HBM (high-bandwidth memory) is stacked memory for AI compute, SME (semiconductor manufacturing equipment) is wafer-processing gear, and EDA (electronic design automation) is the software essential to chip design. ECCN is the export control classification number the US assigns per item, and advanced AI chips fall under 3A090. On the Chinese side, MOFCOM (the Ministry of Commerce) administers export controls. You will also see IFR (interim final rule), the US format that takes effect immediately while public comment runs in parallel.

Read it as symmetric institutional response, not "conflict"

Before the year-by-year calendar, the framework that runs through the whole picture. Lay the regulations out chronologically and compare their legal structure, and you can organize the facts cleanly without a single evaluative word.

The US measures rest on four pillars: the Entity List, the FDPR, Outbound Investment screening, and the advanced-computing review policy. China's measures rest on four as well: the Dual-Use Items Export Control Regulations, Announcement No. 46 (the mineral ban), Announcement No. 61 (extraterritorial reach), and control-list designations. The names are completely different, but both share the same structure: putting specific items, specific parties, and specific conduct under a licensing requirement. In their public explanations, too, both cite national security and both build their own systems with an eye on the other side's design.

Hold that symmetry in your head while reading the calendar, and when a new rule appears you can predict "which of the other side's measures is this responding to?" When the US suspended the Affiliates Rule for a year in November 2025, it was one half of a paired trade: China suspended its rare-earth extraterritorial measure the same month. Look at only one half and the picture never resolves. And once you cross into 2026, a further layer is added to this symmetry: enforcement. Beyond making rules for each other, both sides moved into a phase of actually stopping goods at customs, prosecuting cases, and widening the net through a reporting system.

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2024-2026 major regulatory schedule

Here is the main event, the single-page calendar. I divide it by year, but the essence is in the chains that cross years. As you read, notice how close the dates in the US rows and the China rows sit to each other.

2024: the third wave in earnest

When Actor Measure
Jan 2024 EU Publishes the export-control white paper, declaring its own update cadence
Apr 1, 2024 UK Export Control (Amendment) Regulations 2024 in force; quantum, semiconductors, additive manufacturing controlled as PL9013-9015
Sep 7, 2024 Netherlands Puts two ASML DUV immersion lithography models under national license; service and parts also covered
Sep 2024 US BIS Interim final rule (IFR) covering quantum computers, SME, advanced materials
Oct 19, 2024 China State Council Promulgates the Dual-Use Items Export Control Regulations
Oct 28, 2024 US Treasury Final Outbound Investment rule (restricting investment into Chinese semiconductors, quantum, AI)
Nov 15, 2024 China MOFCOM Publishes the dual-use control list (consolidating ~700 items)
Dec 1, 2024 China Dual-use regulations take effect
Dec 2, 2024 US BIS Third wave on China; adds 140 entities to the Entity List; tightens HBM, SME, EDA
Dec 3, 2024 China MOFCOM Announcement No. 46; gallium, germanium, antimony, superhard materials effectively banned for export to the US

In a span of a few days in early December, the two sides fired in sequence. BIS updated the Entity List on December 2, and the very next day, December 3, China issued Announcement No. 46 banning certain minerals to the US. The proximity of the dates is no accident; it marks the point at which both systems entered a phase of "observe the other's move, then respond at once."

2025: the AI Diffusion Rule arrives and is rescinded; the Affiliates Rule and its suspension

When Actor Measure
Jan 2, 2025 US Outbound Investment Rule in force
Jan 13, 2025 US BIS AI Diffusion Rule (IFR); classifies the world into three tiers, managing AI compute clusters and model weights
Apr 1, 2025 Netherlands Additional ASML controls; metrology and inspection tools under national license
Apr 4, 2025 China MOFCOM Tightens controls on seven rare earths (medium and heavy), effective the same day
May 13, 2025 US BIS Rescinds the AI Diffusion Rule; issues three guidance documents the same day
Aug 2025 US Conditionally licenses Nvidia H20 exports to China (15% of revenue paid to the US government)
Sep 8, 2025 EU Adopts the 2025 dual-use list revision (delegated regulation); adds quantum, SME, additive manufacturing
Sep 23, 2025 India SCOMET revision; creates Category 7 (emerging technologies)
Sep 29, 2025 US BIS Affiliates Rule (50% rule) immediately effective (Federal Register 2025-19001); affiliates >50% owned by Entity List parties controlled equally
Oct 9, 2025 China MOFCOM Announcement No. 61; extraterritorial reach for rare-earth items (license required if Chinese content >0.1%)
Nov 1, 2025 US-China Announce the economic and trade deal, pledging mutual suspension of measures
Nov 10, 2025 US BIS Suspends the Affiliates Rule for one year (Federal Register 2025-19846); removes some Chinese firms from the Entity List
Nov 10, 2025 China Suspends the Oct 9 extraterritorial measure through Nov 10, 2026; ban on US military end-use continues
Nov 18, 2025 Taiwan Announces adding 18 items (advanced 3D printers, advanced semiconductor tools, quantum computers) to its strategic high-tech control list
Dec 2025 China MOFCOM Launches a rare-earth general-license scheme; first licenses to magnet makers JL MAG, San Huan, Yunsheng
Dec 16, 2025 UK Export Control (Amendment) No.2 Regulations 2025 in force; aligned with the EU 500 series

2025 was the year in which "building regulations" and "trading regulations" ran in parallel. In the first half, both sides traded new rules on rare earths and AI; in the second half, a new approach emerged: putting regulations on the bargaining table. The most telling moment came in November. The US suspended the Affiliates Rule (which extends controls even to affiliates more than 50% owned by Entity List parties) just six weeks after it took effect, and in exchange China suspended its rare-earth extraterritorial measure. That was the moment regulation itself became a diplomatic card.

2026: the H200 reversal and China's enforcement in earnest

When Actor Measure
Jan 15, 2026 US BIS Revises the review policy for advanced-computing items from presumption of denial to case-by-case (Federal Register 2026-00789); the line is TPP <21,000 and DRAM bandwidth <6,500 GB/s, ECCN 3A090; covers H200, AMD MI325X, etc.
Mid-Feb 2026 US First small-lot H200 licenses to China reported (Bloomberg, Feb 26)
Feb 24, 2026 China MOFCOM Designates 20 Japanese organizations on its export-control list (Mitsubishi Shipbuilding, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, National Defense Academy, JAXA, etc.)
Apr-May 2026 China MOFCOM Controls on the seven medium and heavy rare earths continue; general licenses ease civilian flows, but export volumes run ~50% below the pre-restriction baseline
May 2026 US Issues H200 licenses to ~10 firms including Alibaba, Tencent, ByteDance; up to ~75,000 chips each
May 2026 China A Japanese national is detained in Dalian on suspicion of smuggling rare earths; Shanghai customs prosecutes a false declaration of germanium-bearing lenses
Jun 24, 2026 China MOFCOM Promulgates Announcement No. 26 of 2026; establishes a reporting (whistleblower) system for export-control violations involving strategic minerals and dual-use items
Jul 1, 2026 China Announcement No. 26 takes effect
2026 (license-catalog update) China MOFCOM Adds samarium, gadolinium, and lutetium compounds to the controlled scope
Nov 10, 2026 US BIS Affiliates Rule suspension deadline; absent an extension, the provisions are re-added to the EAR indefinitely (Federal Register 2025-19846)
Nov 10, 2026 China Rare-earth extraterritorial suspension deadline; decision to extend or reinstate

The biggest move of 2026 has been on AI chips. The January 15 BIS final rule (Federal Register 2026-00789) changed the review of H200 and its equivalents for China from "presumption of denial" to "case-by-case."12 The line is drawn by technical metrics: total processing performance (TPP) below 21,000, and DRAM bandwidth below 6,500 GB/s, classification ECCN 3A090. The H200, AMD MI325X, and items at or below that level fall within the scope of case-by-case review.3 Reexport, export from a third country into China, and transfers within China and Macau, however, all remain under a presumption of denial. In other words, what loosened is only the entrance for "new sales into China"; the routes for moving a chip elsewhere once it has entered remain closed.

Then in May, licenses came through for roughly ten firms, Alibaba, Tencent, ByteDance, JD, Lenovo, Foxconn, with up to about 75,000 chips each.4 Earlier reporting had described a plan to deliver about 82,000 units by mid-February 2026.5 But this is where the story turns.

The US granted licenses, and China stopped the chips at customs

Until last year, the H200 was a "the US won't let it be sold" problem. In 2026 the reality is the reverse. The US eased its review policy and issued licenses, but now Chinese customs will not admit the H200 and is effectively blocking it. Chinese authorities have reportedly told domestic firms that "imports are not permitted," and the government is said to be steering its own tech companies toward domestic chips (Huawei's Ascend series is the leading example). Whether this is a permanent measure or temporary pressure cannot be read with certainty as of July.

The numbers tell this reversal plainly. As of its fiscal year 2026 (ended April 26, 2026), Nvidia had not yet booked any revenue from the H200 China-licensing scheme.6 Against the roughly 82,000 units originally planned, actual deliveries fell short. As of July, China-bound shipments are described as "trivial," and market attention is shifting instead to the "loophole" debate over whether the next-generation Blackwell line (such as the B30A) can be sold into China. Because the fate of that next-generation product requires confirmation in primary sources, I do not treat it here as a settled regulatory change.

The payment conditions are also easy to miss. H200 payments to the US are reported to be 25% of revenue (on a Section 232 tariff basis), capped at 50% of US shipment volume per product. Chips manufactured in Taiwan are further said to require third-party testing within the US before being shipped to China. After passing multiple gates, licensing, taxation, supply verification, and a security inspection, the last wall standing is Chinese customs. Rather than a loosening of controls, it is more accurate to read this as the side opening the entrance and the side closing the exit having swapped places.

China's enforcement moves from "rules" to "prosecution"

There is another 2026 development Japanese companies must face squarely: China's tightened operations. On June 24, MOFCOM promulgated Announcement No. 26 of 2026 and put it into effect on July 1. It establishes a reporting (whistleblower) system for export-control violations involving strategic minerals and dual-use items.7 The scope is not limited to unlicensed exports, evasion by disassembly, circumvention through a third country, or technology transfer. It reaches even acts that facilitate illegal export through logistics, customs brokerage, e-commerce, or financial services. The reporting net now covers not only the parties to a transaction but the peripheral services that support it.

The system is no longer a matter of paper. In May 2026, a Japanese national was detained in Dalian on suspicion of smuggling rare earths. Around the same time, Shanghai customs took enforcement action against the chairman of an optics maker on suspicion of falsely declaring precision optical lenses containing germanium as ordinary glass. Both germanium and rare earths are materials Japanese manufacturers handle routinely. Enforcement now targets not just "whether an item is on the control list" but "the accuracy of the declaration" and "whether conduct could be deemed evasion." That is the new fear of 2026.

China's rare earths, too, show easing, continuation, and expansion side by side. The April 2025 controls on the seven medium and heavy rare earths remain valid in 2026,8 and exports of dysprosium and terbium are running at roughly half their pre-restriction levels. At the same time, the general-license scheme launched in December 2025 (allowing pre-cleared customers multiple shipments a year) has partly restored civilian flows. And the 2026 license-catalog update newly added samarium, gadolinium, and lutetium compounds to the controlled scope, a group of materials that bite on permanent magnets, medical imaging equipment, aerospace parts, catalysts, and advanced electronic components. Only the October 9 extraterritorial measure is paused; the skeleton of the regime is still standing, and its scope is quietly widening.

A worked example: US BIS Affiliates Rule pause ⇄ China rare-earth pause

The structure of 2026 is best captured by the paired moves of November 2025. If the previous December's "mineral ban the day after an Entity List update" was an offensive symmetric response, this is the defensive kind, both sides pulling regulations back at once.

On November 10, the US suspended the Affiliates Rule, only six weeks after it took effect, for one year. That rule pulls affiliates 50% or more owned by parties on the Entity List or Military End User List into the same controls as their parents. It imports OFAC's (the US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control) 50% rule into export controls, and practitioners had warned that compliance burdens would spike. The original rule is Federal Register 2025-19001 (September 30, 2025),9 and the primary source for the suspension is Federal Register 2025-19846 (published November 12, 2025), which sets out the "One Year Suspension."10

What matters is that this suspension is not a simple "pause" but a two-stage design. As a first stage, all changes to the Affiliates Rule are suspended from November 10, 2025 through November 9, 2026. As a second stage, absent an extension, the suspended provisions are re-added to the EAR indefinitely on and after November 10, 2026, and worldwide at that.10 Understanding it as "a timer was set to bring the rule back automatically in a year," rather than "it was stopped for a year," changes the weight of the deadline.

On the same November 10, China suspended its October 9 rare-earth extraterritorial measure through November 10, 2026. That measure, requiring a Chinese license for third-country transactions when Chinese content exceeds 0.1%, was a mirror image of the Affiliates Rule. Both are moves to "pull back, for a fixed term, a regulation aimed at the other country, for the sake of a diplomatic agreement."

The thing to read here is that both suspension deadlines land on the same date: November 10, 2026. Absent an extension, the Affiliates Rule reactivates indefinitely on November 10, and China's rare-earth extraterritorial measure faces its decision the same day. In other words, November 10, 2026 is a day on which both sides' regulations could reignite simultaneously. It is worth penciling that date into your internal calendar in red. For the full picture of rare-earth controls, see the China rare-earth export-control map.

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How the linked countries (JP, NL, UK, EU, IN, TW) track the baseline

Against the US-China-EU principals, the linked countries (Japan, the Netherlands, the UK, India, Taiwan) generally orient toward the US baseline. What they share is an operating mode: not copying the US rules, but producing an equivalent effect within their own export-control law. The EU is a principal, but at the member-state level it also behaves as a linked actor.

Japan added 23 items in a July 2023 ordinance and another 21 across 2024 and 2025 in quantum and advanced semiconductors. The form is the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act, but the items overlap substantially with the US EAR. The Netherlands, as ASML's home, brought two DUV immersion lithography models under national control in September 2024 and metrology and inspection tools in April 2025. The EU revised its dual-use list by delegated regulation on September 8, 2025, adding quantum, SME, and additive manufacturing.

The other linked countries are keeping pace. The UK aligned with the EU 500 series via PL9013-9015 and its December 2025 amendment; India brought SCOMET Category 7 into force in October 2025; Taiwan announced adding 18 items in November 2025. South Korea continues case-by-case operations aligned with the US baseline. The more these allied controls are built out, the more the overlap stacks up from the perspective of a third-country company. For a Japanese company, that means every additional jurisdiction multiplies, rather than adds to, the checking workload.

Impact by sector

Because regulations bite differently by sector, let me sort them into three: semiconductors, AI, and rare earths.

In semiconductors (advanced logic, memory, manufacturing equipment), the December 2024 HBM and SME tightening plus the 140-entity Entity List addition put license requirements on TSMC, Samsung, and SK hynix's China sites. The September 2025 EU 500-series revision changed operations for ASML, ASMI, ZEISS, and others. And the January 2026 BIS final rule, with its case-by-case review, is reshaping the sales channel for advanced AI chips into China. But as the H200 case shows, even when the review criteria loosen, whether a chip can actually be sold now carries the added uncertainty of the buyer country's customs.

AI (model weights, compute infrastructure) is the sector where operations have shifted most violently. The AI Diffusion Rule's publication in January 2025, its rescission in May, three guidance documents, the conditional H20 license in August (15% of revenue paid), the case-by-case final rule in January 2026, the small-lot licenses in February, and the H200 licenses in May. In just eighteen months, the center of gravity moved from "broad management" to "case management plus trading." Even so, with Chinese customs stopping imports and the government steering firms toward domestic chips, Nvidia's China licensing revenue remains essentially zero. Even when the US opens the entrance, real demand can go to zero on a single policy call by the buyer side. AI-chip procurement plans need to price in this asymmetric risk.

Rare earths and critical minerals form a continuous chain: the December 2024 gallium and germanium ban on the US, the April 2025 tightening of seven medium and heavy rare earths, the October extraterritorial measure, the November pause, the December general-license launch, the 2026 addition of samarium and others, and the November 10, 2026 deadline. They bite directly on EV traction motors, compound semiconductors, infrared sensors, and defense and aerospace. The fact that export volumes remain at roughly half the pre-restriction level even with civilian flows eased by general licenses shows there is a gap between the suspension of the regime and the recovery of the reality. Add the reporting system and enforcement on top, and the risk has widened from "can I export?" to "will I be suspected of a violation in the course of exporting?"

A to-do list for Japanese companies

Drawing on all of the above, here are the items to tackle, immediate and medium-term. The order matters, so work down from the top.

For the immediate term, start with a Chinese-content inventory. Announcement No. 61's 0.1% rule is paused, but an extension beyond November 10, 2026 is not confirmed. Now that samarium, gadolinium, and lutetium have entered the controlled scope, you should re-check rare-earth content across all products. Next, re-verify end users: check each quarter whether your counterparties have landed on a Chinese control or watch list. Then inspect your customs practice. The MOFCOM Announcement No. 26 reporting system reaches into logistics, customs brokerage, and financial services. Review, at the level of customs practice, whether there is ambiguity in your item classification or declarations, and whether any transaction structure could be deemed evasion. The case of germanium declared as ordinary glass and then prosecuted is not someone else's problem. Finally, document your triple compliance: prepare paperwork on the assumption that Japan's FEFTA, the US EAR, and China's dual-use regulations all apply to the same transaction at once.

For the medium term, begin with alternative sourcing. Evaluate non-Chinese sources, Australia, India, Canada, for rare earths, gallium, and germanium. For AI-chip procurement planning, track the license history of counterparties that can handle the US case-by-case review, and, on the assumption that even an approved license can be stopped at Chinese customs as with the H200, build in longer procurement lead times. Finally, your compliance structure: set up the two-tier model the METI guidelines describe, a management committee plus a dedicated working unit, so your first response is fast when the regulations reignite.

Common misconceptions / FAQ

Q1. If the H200 is approved, has China-bound AI-chip control loosened?

A. It is better to see it as the subject of the problem having swapped. The US eased its review policy in January 2026, issued small-lot licenses in February, and licensed about ten firms in May. But now Chinese customs will not admit the H200 and the government is steering firms toward domestic chips. As a result, Nvidia's China licensing revenue is essentially zero as of fiscal year 2026, and shipments remain trivial. Even when the US opens the entrance, real demand will not move if China closes the exit. That is the reality as of July.

Q2. Does China's 0.1% rule really bite Japanese companies?

A. Under Announcement No. 61, yes. If a piece of equipment worth a million dollars contains a thousand dollars' worth of Chinese rare earths, exporting it to a third country requires a Chinese MOFCOM license. It has been paused since November 2025, but the pause expires on November 10, 2026, and an extension is not confirmed. On top of that, the Announcement No. 26 reporting system launched in July 2026 makes it a real risk that evasion or circumvention of such rules is reported by a third party.

Q3. Where should a beginner start?

A. Three steps, in order. First, confirm your product's classification (HS code, ECCN, Chinese dual-use list number). Second, check key counterparties against the Entity List and the Unreliable Entity List. Third, survey Chinese content (rare earths, specific materials) and inspect the accuracy of your customs declarations. These three reveal 80% of the picture. Now that enforcement has become real, do not take the third, "accuracy of the declaration," lightly.

Wrapping up

  • From 2024 to 2026, the regulations repeat a chain roughly every quarter: one country's measure, another's symmetric response, the allies' alignment
  • Both offensive symmetric responses (the December 2024 mineral ban the day after the Entity List addition) and defensive ones (the November 2025 Affiliates Rule pause paired with the rare-earth pause) appear
  • In 2026 the H200 saw a reversal, "the US grants a license but China shuts it out at customs," and Nvidia's China revenue is essentially zero; not a loosening of controls but a swap of offense and defense between the entrance and the exit
  • China established a reporting system under Announcement No. 26 (effective July 1) and enforcement, such as the detention of a Japanese national in Dalian, has become real; the risk has widened from "can I export?" to "will I be suspected of a violation in the process?"
  • Japanese companies must run their immediate and medium-term to-dos in parallel, on the assumption of triple compliance under FEFTA, the US EAR, and China's dual-use regulations, extending down to the accuracy of customs declarations

The next major fork is November 10, 2026. The Affiliates Rule's reactivation and China's rare-earth decision land on the same day, and whether regulation reignites or the deal is extended will turn on it. Simulate now "which of our transactions would stop if it reignites," and you will not be caught flat-footed on the day. Personally, I think what bites before the November deadline is China's reporting system and enforcement. A reignition of the rules is easier to prepare for precisely because the date is fixed; it is enforcement, with no set date, that is quietly shaking day-to-day practice.

If you want to follow the interlocking structure more deeply, these are worth reading alongside this one.

If you can't track the interlock every day

This article alone brought up more than 90 dates and over 60 rule and organization names. Is it realistic to keep up, every day, with quarterly updates across the US, China, the EU, Japan, the Netherlands, the UK, India, and Taiwan using only your own general affairs and legal teams? The primary sources span English, Chinese, and Japanese, and a single miss can leave you in a state where "by the next day, your own company is the regulated party." And from 2026, you also have to watch operational traps such as customs declarations and the reporting system, not just additions to the control lists.

TIMEWELL's TRAFEED (formerly ZEROCK ExCHECK), the world's first export-control AI agent, continuously ingests each country's primary sources, the Federal Register, MOFCOM announcements, official gazettes, EU delegated regulations, and automates impact analysis against your own transaction patterns. It processes multilingual primary sources directly, cross-checks the Entity List, control lists, and watch lists, and screens against METI standards, the US EAR, and China's dual-use regulations at once. When a rule changes, an alert fires. The final classification is made by your own export-control manager; the tool is designed to assemble the material for that judgment quickly.

Build the capability to know "which regulation will hit us next" the day after it lands. If a classification or counterparty-screening case has you stuck, let's talk it through first.

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Footnotes

References

  • US: BIS (bis.gov), Federal Register (federalregister.gov), GovInfo (govinfo.gov), US SEC EDGAR (NVIDIA Form 10-Q), US Treasury Outbound Investment
  • China: MOFCOM (mofcom.gov.cn), Dual-Use Items Export Control Regulations, Announcements No. 46 and No. 61, Announcement No. 26 of 2026
  • EU/UK: EU Trade and Economic Security, EU 2024 White Paper on Export Controls, UK ECJU notices
  • Japan: METI Security Export Control, CISTEC, JETRO
  • Industry/law firms: Covington, Skadden, DLA Piper, Arnold & Porter, Taylor Wessing, Morgan Lewis, Tom's Hardware

Footnotes

  1. Federal Register, "Revision to License Review Policy for Advanced Computing Commodities" (2026-00789), effective Jan 15, 2026. https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/01/15/2026-00789/revision-to-license-review-policy-for-advanced-computing-commodities

  2. GovInfo, FR-2026-01-15 official PDF (2026-00789, Vol.91 No.10). https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2026-01-15/pdf/2026-00789.pdf

  3. BIS, "Department of Commerce Revises License Review Policy for Semiconductors Exported to China." https://www.bis.gov/press-release/department-commerce-revises-license-review-policy-semiconductors-exported-china

  4. Tom's Hardware, "The Nvidia H200 export saga, as it happened." https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/us-eases-nvidia-export-restrictions-h200-cleared-for-china-under-tight-controls

  5. Tom's Hardware, "Nvidia prepares shipment of 82,000 AI GPUs to China as chip war lines blur." https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/nvidia-prepares-h200-shipments-to-china-as-chip-war-lines-blur

  6. NVIDIA Corporation, Form 10-Q, fiscal period ended April 26, 2026 (no revenue recognized under the H200 China-licensing scheme). https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001045810/000104581026000052/nvda-20260426.htm

  7. Morgan Lewis, "Recent China Export Control Actions Signal Active Enforcement for Rare Earths and Strategic Minerals," Jul 2026 (analysis of MOFCOM Announcement No. 26 of 2026, the reporting system, and enforcement cases). https://www.morganlewis.com/pubs/2026/07/recent-china-export-control-actions-signal-active-enforcement-for-rare-earths-and-strategic-minerals

  8. Taylor Wessing, "Key Changes in China's Export Control Landscape for Rare Earths," Apr 2026. https://www.taylorwessing.com/en/insights-and-events/insights/2026/04/key-changes-in-china-s-export-control-landscape-for-rare-earths

  9. Federal Register, "Expansion of End-User Controls To Cover Affiliates of Certain Listed Entities" (2025-19001), effective Sep 29, 2025. https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/09/30/2025-19001/expansion-of-end-user-controls-to-cover-affiliates-of-certain-listed-entities

  10. Federal Register, "One Year Suspension of Expansion of End-User Controls for Affiliates of Certain Listed Entities" (2025-19846), published Nov 12, 2025. https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/11/12/2025-19846/one-year-suspension-of-expansion-of-end-user-controls-for-affiliates-of-certain-listed-entities 2

This article was produced with the help of AI. A human verified the primary sources and edited the text before publication.

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A fill-in worksheet built from the appendix checklist of the Economic Security Management Guidelines (1st Edition), published by METI's Trade and Economic Security Bureau on 23 January 2026. All 44 items are transcribed from the original text and laid out in its three-column form: check item, Y/N, and the structures (organisation, internal rules) and track record behind your answer. The breakdown follows the original: 5 items on principles executives should keep in mind, 13 on securing autonomy, 13 on securing indispensability, and 13 on strengthening governance, with the 8 items the original phrases as "it is also useful to" badged separately. Opens with a plain-language primer on what economic security, autonomy, indispensability, governance and duty of care actually mean. Includes METI-published survey data showing that 70.7% of 3,007 manufacturers had heard the term but had no concrete image of it, and that the share expecting lost revenue to outweigh the cost of action rises from 22.3% over one to three years to 31.9% over four to ten. As METI states explicitly, the guidelines are not an obligation imposed on companies and are not premised on transactions with any specific country, company, or person. This worksheet was produced by TIMEWELL and was not prepared or endorsed by METI. Final decisions should rest with your legal and compliance leadership and the latest publications of the relevant authorities.

Event Organiser's Migration & Data-Rescue Checklist (fill-in, 2026)

A fill-in worksheet for event organisers whose ticketing service has shut down. PassMarket closed on June 30, 2026, and its ticket management tool is announced as available until August 31, 2026 (planned). The sheet covers what to rescue before that deadline (attendee records, survey responses, revenue and payout records, event page copy, ticket configuration), an inventory of the channels through which you can still reach attendees, a formula and worksheet for calculating the effective cost of a new platform yourself, and the steps to launch a first event on it. Anything the official announcement does not state — when in-service messaging stops, the export specification for attendee lists and survey data, the timing of payouts — is marked "to be confirmed" rather than asserted. It does not rank providers; it supplies the formula and the checklist.

China-Related Transactions Export-Control Screening Sheet (fill-in / Export Control Law & Dual-Use Regulations, critical minerals, Control List, 2026)

A fill-in working sheet for companies trading with China: screen a single transaction against China's export-control regime (the Export Control Law and the Dual-Use Items Export Control Regulations), the controls on critical minerals (gallium/germanium/graphite/antimony/tungsten etc./rare earths/helium), and the four counterparty-list systems (Control List, Watch List, Unreliable Entity List, countermeasure lists). A procedure for "what to check before the deal," not a roster of "who is listed." With a plain-language intro, based on MOFCOM announcements. Listing is a regulatory category, not a judgment about any company (including the Japanese firms on the Japan-directed lists); controls change continually, so verify current announcements and consult your officer. Match counterparties using the original simplified-Chinese wording.

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